Greuther Fürth vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
77.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
FCU
1 - 1
SGF
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SGF
1 - 4
LEV
12%
19%
69%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
HOF
0 - 0
SGF
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SGF
0 - 2
MON
14%
21%
65%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
EIN
0 - 0
SGF
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BVB
3 - 4
BOC
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
BVB
2 - 3
DYN
67%
18%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BYM
3 - 1
BVB
69%
17%
14%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BVB
6 - 1
WOL
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
STU
0 - 2
BVB
13%
18%
70%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |