Greuther Fürth vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
MSV
0 - 2
SGF
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SGF
6 - 2
BOC
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ING
0 - 0
SGF
18%
25%
57%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SGF
5 - 1
PAD
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
HOF
0 - 1
SGF
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AAA
0 - 3
PAD
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
F95
0 - 0
AAA
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AAA
0 - 0
ROS
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
AAA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AAA
2 - 1
STP
33%
26%
42%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |