Greuther Fürth vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
ERZ
0 - 3
SGF
26%
25%
50%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
FCU
3 - 0
SGF
33%
27%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
SGF
4 - 2
EIN
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
SSV
0 - 0
SGF
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
SGF
2 - 4
UNT
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
ERF
1 - 1
AAA
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
AAA
1 - 0
ERZ
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
COT
3 - 1
AAA
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2003 |
AAA
2 - 2
M05
30%
26%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
WAC
1 - 1
AAA
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |