Greuther Fürth vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
MSV
1 - 0
SGF
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SGF
1 - 5
HAN
34%
25%
40%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
M05
1 - 1
SGF
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
SGF
1 - 1
BOC
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
UNT
1 - 1
SGF
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
AAA
0 - 1
SCF
21%
25%
55%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
AAA
1 - 3
BOC
23%
24%
54%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
UNT
2 - 0
AAA
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
KSC
1 - 2
AAA
48%
24%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
AAA
1 - 2
FCU
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |