Greuther Fürth vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
KSC
0 - 1
SGF
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1999 |
SGF
0 - 0
HAN
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
CHE
5 - 0
SGF
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1999 |
SGF
1 - 1
FCN
31%
28%
42%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
M05
1 - 0
SGF
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
AAA
0 - 0
ROT
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1999 |
KOL
4 - 0
AAA
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
AAA
3 - 1
STP
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1999 |
COT
4 - 1
AAA
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
KSC
0 - 0
AAA
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |