Greuther Fürth vs Köln analysis

Greuther Fürth Köln
81 ELO 89
4% Tilt 15.8%
518º General ELO ranking 85º
36º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
21.9%
Greuther Fürth
22.5%
Draw
55.6%
Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
Greuther Fürth
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
55.6%
Win probability
Köln
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Greuther Fürth
+2%
-3%
Köln

Points and table prediction

Greuther Fürth
Their league position
Köln
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
15º
13º
61
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Köln
61
61
100%
Hamburger SV
59
59
100%
SV Elversberg
58
58
100%
Paderborn
55
55
100%
Magdeburg
53
53
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
53
53
100%
Kaiserslautern
53
53
100%
Karlsruher SC
52
52
100%
Hannover 96
51
51
100%
Nürnberg
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Hertha BSC
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Darmstadt 98
12º
42
42
12º
100%
Greuther Fürth
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Schalke 04
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Preußen Münster
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Eintracht Braunschweig
16º
35
35
16º
100%
SSV Ulm
17º
30
30
17º
100%
Jahn Regensburg
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Greuther Fürth
Köln
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Greuther Fürth
Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Greuther Fürth
Greuther Fürth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2025
DAR
Darmstadt 98
1 - 0
Greuther Fürth
SGF
44%
25%
31%
81 84 3 0
30 Mar. 2025
SGF
Greuther Fürth
3 - 3
Schalke 04
S04
38%
25%
37%
81 83 2 0
20 Mar. 2025
SGF
Greuther Fürth
3 - 1
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
60%
21%
19%
81 73 8 0
16 Mar. 2025
FCN
Nürnberg
3 - 0
Greuther Fürth
SGF
37%
25%
38%
81 80 1 0
08 Mar. 2025
SGF
Greuther Fürth
1 - 1
Magdeburg
MAG
33%
23%
43%
81 83 2 0

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2025
KOL
Köln
0 - 1
Hertha BSC
HER
53%
23%
25%
89 85 4 0
29 Mar. 2025
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 2
Köln
KOL
33%
24%
43%
89 86 3 0
20 Mar. 2025
KOL
Köln
1 - 2
Verl
VER
70%
18%
13%
89 76 13 0
15 Mar. 2025
KOL
Köln
2 - 1
Darmstadt 98
DAR
55%
23%
22%
89 84 5 0
08 Mar. 2025
ULM
SSV Ulm
0 - 1
Köln
KOL
17%
21%
62%
89 78 11 0