Greuther Fürth II vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
BAY
0 - 2
GRE
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 2
SCH
47%
24%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ILL
3 - 2
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
GRE
5 - 1
FCP
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
ELT
1 - 3
GRE
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
VRG
1 - 1
SCH
22%
21%
57%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
HEI
3 - 4
VRG
32%
23%
45%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
VRG
1 - 2
MEM
52%
23%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
ROS
3 - 2
VRG
27%
23%
49%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
VRG
0 - 1
ING
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |