Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II analysis

Greuther Fürth II Bayern München II
56 ELO 61
-4.3% Tilt -2.2%
2411º General ELO ranking 2008º
100º Country ELO ranking 80º
ELO win probability
28.6%
Greuther Fürth II
24.9%
Draw
46.5%
Bayern München II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
Greuther Fürth II
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
46.5%
Win probability
Bayern München II
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Greuther Fürth II
+31%
-24%
Bayern München II

Points and table prediction

Greuther Fürth II
Their league position
Bayern München II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
18º
54
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Würzburger Kickers
82
82
100%
Vilzing
69
69
100%
Nürnberg II
61
61
100%
Aubstadt
58
58
100%
Illertissen
56
56
100%
Bayern München II
54
54
100%
FC Augsburg II
50
50
100%
Greuther Fürth II
49
49
100%
SV Wacker Burghausen
48
48
100%
Türkgücü München
11º
45
47
10º
100%
Schweinfurt
10º
45
45
11º
100%
Bayreuth SpVgg
12º
42
42
12º
100%
SpVgg Ansbach
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Eintracht Bamberg
15º
31
31
15º
100%
Schalding-Heining
17º
30
30
16º
100%
Buchbach
16º
30
30
17º
100%
Memmingen
18º
29
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Greuther Fürth II
Bayern München II
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Greuther Fürth II
Bayern München II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Greuther Fürth II
Greuther Fürth II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2024
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
1 - 1
FC Augsburg II
AUG
45%
26%
30%
57 56 1 0
26 Apr. 2024
MEM
Memmingen
1 - 0
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
15%
23%
62%
57 40 17 0
20 Apr. 2024
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
2 - 1
Vilzing
VIL
40%
26%
34%
56 58 2 +1
16 Apr. 2024
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
3 - 1
Würzburger Kickers
WUR
16%
23%
61%
54 69 15 +2
13 Apr. 2024
SCH
Schalding-Heining
1 - 2
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
21%
24%
55%
54 45 9 0

Matches

Bayern München II
Bayern München II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2024
BUC
Buchbach
1 - 1
Bayern München II
BAY
12%
19%
69%
61 44 17 0
27 Apr. 2024
BAY
Bayern München II
1 - 1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
77%
15%
8%
61 47 14 0
24 Apr. 2024
BAY
Bayern München II
0 - 0
Buchbach
BUC
80%
13%
7%
61 44 17 0
20 Apr. 2024
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
0 - 2
Bayern München II
BAY
20%
21%
59%
60 48 12 +1
12 Apr. 2024
BAY
Bayern München II
1 - 1
Aubstadt
AUB
62%
21%
17%
60 56 4 0