Greuther Fürth II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
ROS
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
AUE
1 - 1
GRE
36%
24%
41%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
ATS
1 - 2
GRE
16%
21%
64%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
ELT
1 - 0
GRE
32%
24%
45%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 4
BAY
24%
22%
53%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
SSV
4 - 0
BAY
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
VIK
7 - 0
BAY
38%
24%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
BAY
0 - 4
SCH
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
BAY
4 - 0
VIK
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |