Greuther Fürth II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 2
GRE
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
ILL
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 4
GRE
51%
24%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ING
1 - 1
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 0
BAY
11%
18%
71%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 1
SCH
23%
22%
55%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
HEI
3 - 4
BAY
21%
20%
59%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
MEM
0 - 2
BAY
55%
22%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BAY
0 - 1
ROS
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
BUC
0 - 3
BAY
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +3 |