Greuther Fürth II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
WUR
1 - 4
GRE
40%
22%
38%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 1
MEM
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 0
GRE
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
GRE
5 - 2
TSV
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
186
1 - 0
GRE
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
BAY
0 - 0
FUR
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ISM
1 - 0
BAY
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
WUR
1 - 1
BAY
41%
24%
36%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
BAY
0 - 0
MEM
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
GRO
2 - 3
BAY
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |