Greuther Fürth II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
BAY
5 - 1
GRE
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
GRE
1 - 0
SCS
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
NUR
5 - 2
GRE
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
GRE
3 - 1
WEI
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
ISM
4 - 1
GRE
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
BAY
2 - 1
JRE
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
UNT
1 - 1
BAY
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
BAY
4 - 1
GER
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
FCF
0 - 1
BAY
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
BAY
1 - 2
QUF
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |