Greuther Fürth II vs Bad Kötzting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
TSV
1 - 0
GRE
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
GRE
9 - 1
SCH
19%
24%
57%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +3 |
| 01 Aug. 2007 |
WUR
1 - 0
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
GRO
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
WUR
2 - 0
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 3
BAD
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
BAD
0 - 0
GRO
48%
24%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2007 |
ISM
2 - 2
BAD
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
BAD
1 - 1
NUR
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
HEI
4 - 2
BAD
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |