Greuther Fürth II vs SpVgg Ansbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
7º
18º
8º
39
4º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AUB
3 - 0
GRE
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ILL
2 - 2
GRE
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AUG
4 - 2
GRE
47%
24%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
MEM
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 1
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Ansbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ANS
5 - 0
BUC
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ANS
3 - 0
VIK
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 0
ANS
68%
17%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 0
ANS
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ANS
4 - 0
ILL
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +3 |