Gretna 2008 vs Stirling University II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
WHI
2 - 2
GRE
60%
21%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
4 - 2
CIV
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
5 - 0
LOT
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 0
AFC
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 5
SPA
13%
18%
69%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Stirling University II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
STI
5 - 2
SEL
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TYN
0 - 4
STI
33%
25%
43%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
WHI
1 - 2
STI
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
EDI
2 - 4
STI
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
HER
3 - 3
STI
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -2 |