Gretna 2008 vs Lothian Hutchison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 1
AFC
40%
25%
36%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 0
GRE
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SEL
3 - 0
GRE
27%
22%
51%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 9
VAL
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -4 |
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 0
LOT
74%
15%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 1
STI
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
2 - 0
HER
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
3 - 3
VAL
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
3 - 1
TYN
58%
21%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |