Gretna 2008 vs Hearts II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
65.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
11º
18º
17º
48
1º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 71 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
64 | 64 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 51 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 16 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
8 | 8 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TRA
4 - 0
GRE
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
THE
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
STI
2 - 0
GRE
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
DAL
57%
20%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
CBF
17%
18%
66%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Hearts II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HOM
3 - 0
AFC
92%
6%
2%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
HOM
50%
21%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
HOM
2 - 1
CUM
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
RFC
2 - 3
HOM
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
HOM
0 - 0
SPA
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |