Gretna 2008 vs Cumbernauld Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
69.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CBF
4 - 0
GRE
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 4
STI
17%
20%
64%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BON
5 - 1
GRE
91%
7%
3%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
THE
4 - 2
GRE
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 4
CIV
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Cumbernauld Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CUM
4 - 0
VAL
88%
9%
3%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CUM
0 - 0
THE
12%
19%
69%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
5 - 0
CUM
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CUM
1 - 0
BER
29%
24%
48%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CUM
2 - 4
DAL
52%
22%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |