Gresley vs Wakefield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 3
GRE
34%
25%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
EAS
2 - 1
GRE
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 2
OSS
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CLI
2 - 0
GRE
27%
24%
50%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
KEN
2 - 1
GRE
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Wakefield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
WAK
0 - 2
BEL
30%
26%
44%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
WAK
1 - 3
HAR
68%
20%
13%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
WAK
0 - 1
ROU
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 0
WAK
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
WOS
4 - 0
WAK
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |