Gresley vs Sutton Coldfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
63.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 1
GRE
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
PON
3 - 0
GRE
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 2
LOU
10%
17%
74%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TAD
2 - 1
GRE
82%
13%
5%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 3
MAN
14%
18%
69%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sutton Coldfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
SUT
17%
21%
61%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SUT
0 - 2
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
BRO
3 - 2
SUT
70%
17%
14%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SUT
3 - 0
DUN
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
DID
1 - 1
SUT
44%
24%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |