Gresley vs Sutton Coldfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
GRE
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
BRI
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
COA
0 - 2
GRE
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 2
SCA
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
GRE
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sutton Coldfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SUT
2 - 0
SPA
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SUT
2 - 3
RAI
83%
12%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BED
1 - 0
SUT
15%
22%
63%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SUT
1 - 0
MIC
48%
22%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 3
SUT
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |