Gresley vs Stamford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
FRI
14%
18%
68%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
5 - 0
GRE
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
LIN
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SHE
4 - 1
GRE
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
GRE
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stamford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
OUF
1 - 0
STA
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
STA
4 - 0
SPA
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
STA
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
STA
1 - 2
MOR
43%
24%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
STA
19%
23%
58%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |