Gresley vs Stamford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
43%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
KID
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LIN
4 - 1
GRE
59%
20%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
BAS
31%
23%
47%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
SHE
43%
24%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
5 - 2
GRE
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Stamford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
STA
2 - 3
LEE
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
STA
2 - 0
LOU
85%
10%
5%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 0
STA
66%
21%
14%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 2
STA
36%
23%
42%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
STA
1 - 4
HED
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -3 |