Gresley vs Stamford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 2
COA
26%
23%
52%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
MIC
0 - 4
GRE
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 4
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 2
CAR
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 4
BRI
64%
20%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Stamford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
KIN
2 - 1
STA
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
STA
4 - 1
KID
69%
17%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
STA
5 - 3
NOR
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 1
STA
22%
21%
57%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
STA
27%
24%
50%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |