Gresley vs Stafford Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
5 - 2
GRE
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 0
SHE
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 3
GRE
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 2
GRE
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
ROM
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Stafford Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RFC
0 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
RFC
4 - 0
RUG
70%
18%
13%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 0
RFC
42%
25%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SLA
2 - 0
RFC
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RFC
3 - 1
TIV
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +2 |