Gresley vs Spalding United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 3
STO
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 3
KID
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
NEW
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
SHE
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
COR
0 - 2
GRE
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 3
FRI
18%
21%
62%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 0
STA
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 3
LOU
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ALV
1 - 2
SPA
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 1
BEL
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |