Gresley vs Spalding United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 2
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 3
GRE
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 2
GRE
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
GRE
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
STA
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 1
RUG
60%
21%
20%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 2
GRE
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 2
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 3
SPA
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |