Gresley vs Spalding United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
LIN
31%
25%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LEE
3 - 0
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
GOO
65%
20%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
TIV
72%
16%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
GRE
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
COA
2 - 1
SPA
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TIV
1 - 1
SPA
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
KID
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 2
SPA
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 0
SHE
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |