Gresley vs Spalding United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 0
LEE
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 0
STO
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
RAI
0 - 1
GRE
10%
17%
74%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BRI
0 - 7
GRE
7%
15%
78%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 0
MAR
74%
15%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 6
SPA
6%
14%
80%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
SUT
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MIC
2 - 1
SPA
60%
21%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 2
TIV
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |