Gresley vs Spalding United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 2
BRI
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
STO
2 - 1
GRE
60%
23%
17%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 1
WAR
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
CAR
3 - 1
GRE
42%
25%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 1
BEL
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
SPA
0 - 5
RET
16%
22%
62%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GOO
4 - 3
SPA
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
SPA
0 - 2
BEL
39%
27%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
SPA
0 - 0
SHE
29%
25%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
WAR
3 - 1
SPA
56%
24%
20%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |