Gresley vs Spalding United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 1
SHE
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
SHE
3 - 2
GRE
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
GRE
3 - 0
MOS
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
CHO
3 - 1
GRE
40%
26%
35%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 0
CLI
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 1
WAR
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 2
AFC
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 1
SHE
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
AFC
0 - 0
SPA
76%
16%
9%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
SPA
2 - 1
BRI
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |