Gresley vs Skegness analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 1
GRE
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 2
HEA
40%
22%
37%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 5
GRE
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 1
ECF
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 0
LEI
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Skegness
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SKE
1 - 0
ECF
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SKE
0 - 2
LOU
30%
22%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SKE
2 - 3
ANN
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
QUO
1 - 2
SKE
46%
21%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SKE
1 - 0
HEA
48%
21%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |