Gresley vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
SHE
3 - 2
GRE
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
GRE
3 - 0
MOS
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
CHO
3 - 1
GRE
40%
26%
35%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 0
CLI
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
4 - 1
KID
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
SHE
3 - 2
GRE
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 1
SHE
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
SHE
4 - 3
OSS
37%
25%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
SHE
0 - 0
WOS
27%
24%
50%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
SHE
2 - 2
BEL
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |