Gresley vs Selston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 2
LON
17%
19%
65%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ECF
1 - 3
GRE
11%
16%
73%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
GRE
4 - 0
NEF
78%
14%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PIU
1 - 5
GRE
5%
12%
83%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
GRE
4 - 3
MEL
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Selston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SEL
2 - 1
NEF
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SEL
3 - 2
HOL
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 1
SEL
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
SEL
1 - 3
DEE
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
HEA
0 - 0
SEL
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |