Gresley vs Romulus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
PET
15%
18%
68%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
STO
1 - 1
GRE
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
GRE
84%
12%
5%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
BED
19%
21%
61%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 2
STA
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ROM
1 - 2
SPA
24%
23%
54%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PET
5 - 1
ROM
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ROM
0 - 2
COR
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 0
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ROM
2 - 2
SHE
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |