Gresley vs Romulus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 0
GRE
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 3
RUG
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 3
COA
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
SLA
4 - 2
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 3
STO
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 0
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ROM
2 - 1
NEW
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ROM
4 - 0
DAV
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ROM
0 - 4
BAS
26%
22%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ROM
5 - 1
LOU
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |