FA Trophy 1/512
Global 2-1
Gresley vs Romulus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 0
GRE
51%
23%
25%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 1
LEE
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KID
3 - 1
GRE
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
CHA
53%
24%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 3
SLA
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 0
GRE
51%
23%
25%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 3
ROM
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SHE
0 - 4
ROM
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ROM
2 - 0
LEE
26%
24%
51%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +3 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
KID
4 - 2
ROM
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -2 |