Gresley vs Romulus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SHE
2 - 4
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
SUT
2 - 3
GRE
55%
22%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
TRA
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
5 - 2
CHA
44%
24%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 1
ROM
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ROM
4 - 3
MIC
31%
23%
45%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
LEE
1 - 0
ROM
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ROM
3 - 2
LIN
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BEL
4 - 1
ROM
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |