Gresley vs Rocester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 2
AFC
20%
24%
56%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WOS
0 - 0
GRE
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 0
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
KEN
1 - 2
GRE
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 0
STO
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rocester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
ROC
2 - 4
SPA
37%
25%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ROC
0 - 1
CLI
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
ILK
2 - 2
ROC
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
KID
2 - 2
ROC
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ROC
1 - 1
WAR
16%
22%
63%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +1 |