Gresley vs Retford United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
66.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GOO
3 - 1
GRE
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 3
RUS
19%
25%
56%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BEL
4 - 0
GRE
79%
15%
7%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
GLA
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
BRI
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Retford United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
RET
2 - 3
BEL
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LEE
1 - 2
RET
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
QUO
0 - 3
RET
26%
24%
51%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
RET
1 - 1
STA
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
LOU
1 - 4
RET
18%
23%
60%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |