Gresley vs Rainworth Miners Welfare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 2
HAL
39%
25%
37%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
LEE
2 - 0
GRE
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
BEL
4 - 1
GRE
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GRE
4 - 1
LEE
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
KID
2 - 1
GRE
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rainworth Miners Welfare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
RAI
0 - 1
COA
14%
20%
67%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BED
0 - 1
RAI
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
HAL
1 - 0
RAI
70%
18%
13%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
RAI
1 - 2
NEW
30%
26%
45%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 2
RAI
70%
18%
13%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |