Gresley vs Rainworth Miners Welfare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
NOR
19%
23%
59%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
KID
5 - 3
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 2
LOU
34%
24%
41%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
SUT
4 - 2
GRE
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
GRE
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Rainworth Miners Welfare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
RAI
0 - 4
STA
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 2
RAI
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LEE
2 - 2
RAI
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
RAI
2 - 2
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
RAI
3 - 2
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |