Gresley vs Quorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
SHE
1 - 2
GRE
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 2
KID
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 1
SHE
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 2
GRE
24%
26%
50%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
ALS
0 - 1
GRE
52%
23%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
STO
4 - 1
QUO
66%
20%
15%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
QUO
1 - 1
BEL
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
RET
4 - 0
QUO
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
QUO
1 - 4
NAN
26%
24%
50%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
GOO
3 - 0
QUO
72%
17%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |