Gresley vs Quorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
BRI
0 - 1
GRE
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BEL
2 - 1
GRE
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 1
ALS
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 1
GOO
42%
24%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
KID
1 - 2
GRE
53%
24%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
QUO
6 - 3
GRA
32%
25%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
CAM
2 - 0
QUO
79%
14%
8%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
QUO
4 - 2
STO
22%
24%
54%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +4 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ALS
0 - 0
QUO
69%
18%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
QUO
1 - 0
BRI
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |