Gresley vs Mossley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
CHO
3 - 1
GRE
40%
26%
35%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 0
CLI
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
4 - 1
KID
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 1
GRE
46%
24%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
OSS
2 - 1
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
WAR
1 - 0
MOS
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
MOS
0 - 2
ILK
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2004 |
MOS
3 - 0
CLI
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
COL
2 - 1
MOS
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
KID
4 - 4
MOS
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |