Gresley vs Leicester Nirvana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BOS
0 - 4
GRE
72%
15%
12%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 2
LEE
13%
19%
69%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
NEF
1 - 1
GRE
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 0
PIU
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 0
BEW
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Leicester Nirvana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 3
MEL
17%
19%
64%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LEI
0 - 1
NEF
12%
16%
71%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LEI
3 - 4
BOS
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
DEE
3 - 1
LEI
77%
14%
10%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 1
DEE
14%
17%
70%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +1 |