Gresley vs Leek Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
NEF
1 - 1
GRE
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 0
PIU
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 0
BEW
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
HEA
2 - 0
GRE
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HAN
5 - 1
GRE
75%
15%
11%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Leek Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
LEE
2 - 2
TRA
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RYL
2 - 0
LEE
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -3 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
NAN
0 - 0
LEE
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
ILK
2 - 3
LEE
18%
21%
60%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
EVE
3 - 2
LEE
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |