Gresley vs Leek Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KID
3 - 1
GRE
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
CHA
53%
24%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 3
SLA
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
GRE
14%
20%
67%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
TIV
0 - 2
GRE
37%
23%
41%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Leek Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
4 - 0
LEE
20%
21%
59%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ROM
2 - 0
LEE
26%
24%
51%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
DEE
4 - 2
LEE
18%
20%
63%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LEE
2 - 2
DEE
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
LEE
2 - 1
STO
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |