Gresley vs Leek Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
KID
2 - 1
GRE
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 2
MAR
75%
15%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 3
COA
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BRI
2 - 1
GRE
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 0
NEW
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Leek Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LEE
2 - 1
LOU
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
KID
2 - 0
LEE
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 0
LEE
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
LEE
2 - 2
SCA
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
LEE
5 - 0
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |