Gresley vs Ilkeston Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
CLI
1 - 2
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 2
EAS
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 3
NOR
31%
25%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
KID
1 - 1
GRE
51%
24%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 0
WAR
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ilkeston Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
ILK
2 - 1
MOS
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ILK
0 - 0
WAR
71%
18%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
ILK
2 - 2
BRI
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
COL
0 - 1
ILK
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
WIL
2 - 1
ILK
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |